Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.000605 0.000696 0.000793 0.000904 0.001026 0.001157 0.001306
2025-06-01 0.000447 0.000569 0.000709 0.000879 0.001080 0.001306 0.001581
2025-06-08 0.000357 0.000489 0.000647 0.000850 0.001098 0.001390 0.001755
2025-06-15 0.000302 0.000441 0.000616 0.000848 0.001143 0.001500 0.001959
2025-06-22 0.000260 0.000402 0.000590 0.000847 0.001183 0.001601 0.002152
2025-06-29 0.000223 0.000366 0.000560 0.000837 0.001209 0.001682 0.002318
2025-07-06 0.000191 0.000331 0.000530 0.000821 0.001224 0.001747 0.002463
2025-07-13 0.000174 0.000317 0.000527 0.000841 0.001285 0.001873 0.002688
2025-07-20 0.000158 0.000302 0.000519 0.000854 0.001337 0.001985 0.002899
2025-07-27 0.000138 0.000279 0.000498 0.000845 0.001355 0.002053 0.003050
2025-08-03 0.000120 0.000255 0.000473 0.000828 0.001361 0.002102 0.003175
2025-08-10 0.000109 0.000243 0.000467 0.000838 0.001405 0.002205 0.003377
2025-08-17 0.000098 0.000230 0.000456 0.000841 0.001440 0.002296 0.003565
2025-08-24 0.000083 0.000206 0.000427 0.000813 0.001426 0.002317 0.003656
2025-08-31 0.000070 0.000185 0.000400 0.000786 0.001412 0.002337 0.003744
2025-09-07 0.000062 0.000174 0.000389 0.000784 0.001436 0.002411 0.003911
2025-09-14 0.000055 0.000164 0.000379 0.000783 0.001461 0.002488 0.004081
2025-09-21 0.000048 0.000152 0.000365 0.000774 0.001472 0.002542 0.004221
2025-09-28 0.000042 0.000140 0.000348 0.000759 0.001473 0.002581 0.004338
2025-10-05 0.000039 0.000137 0.000351 0.000778 0.001529 0.002707 0.004585
2025-10-12 0.000036 0.000133 0.000349 0.000790 0.001575 0.002817 0.004811
2025-10-19 0.000032 0.000124 0.000337 0.000781 0.001585 0.002870 0.004951
2025-10-26 0.000027 0.000114 0.000322 0.000765 0.001581 0.002901 0.005059